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The Economist just dropped their Michigan 2026 Senate forecast and Mike Rogers has pulled ahead. He’s at 52% odds of victory, up 5.8 points from before the primary. Abdul El-Sayed sits at 48%, down 5.8 points. That’s an 11.6-point net shift toward Rogers. Vote share is razor thin though, Rogers 50.2%, El-Sayed 49.8%, only a 0.4-point bump for Rogers
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